Moody’s Changes Outlook on Global Shipping Sector to Negative

Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s) has switched its outlook on the global shipping sector to negative as it expects supply growth to outpace demand growth in 2016 by more than 2%, suppressing freight rates, particularly in the dry bulk and containership segments.

The outlook for the tanker segment remains stable as low crude oil prices will continue to boost demand for tankers.

“Even though the tanker segment continues to perform strongly, we expect the supply-demand gap for the industry overall to exceed 2% in 2016, and possibly into 2017, as large new vessel deliveries coincide with subdued demand for dry bulk and container ships,” says Marie Fischer-Sabatie, a Moody’s Senior Vice President and author of Moody’s report, titled “Outlook Update: Shipping – Global: Weakness in Dry Bulk, Container Segments Drives Outlook Change to Negative.”

China’s slowdown is weighing on demand for commodities, such as coal and iron ore, which in turn affects dry bulk seaborne transportation demand, the report shows.

On the back of weaker freight rates in the dry bulk and containership segments, Moody’s now forecasts a low single-digit percentage decline in aggregate EBITDA for the rated shipping companies in 2016, versus growth in the low single-digits in its previous forecast late last year.

According to the forecast, while fuel prices, which make up a large cost item for container shipping companies, have continued to fall over the past six months, the benefits to the container shipping segment will fade somewhat in 2016 because they have already passed lower fuel costs on to their customers via reduced freight rates, limiting the upside.

Share this article

Follow World Maritime News

In Depth>

Events>

<< Nov 2019 >>
MTWTFSS
28 29 30 31 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28 29 30 1

Maritime Reconnaissance and Surveillance Technology

As varied threats in the Mediterranean Sea continue to proliferate, the need to advance…

read more >

CrewConnect Global 2019

CrewConnect Global is the leading forum for collaboration to advance new industry approaches to seafarer recruitment and training.

read more >

CruiseConnect Global 2019

Attend CrewConnect Global and stay on for the CruiseConnect Summit to take part in an industry-wide conversation focused…

read more >

CWC World LNG Summit & Awards Evening

The CWC World LNG Summit & Awards Evening will be returning to Rome in 2019 to celebrate it’s 20th year.

read more >