Braemar Seascope: Uncertainty Reigns in Newbuilding Sector

Uncertainty still reigns true in the global shipbuilding sector with many factors influencing either a return to ordering activity or a continuation of the reduction in interest in newbuildings.

The best case scenario for shipbuilders is for ship finance liquidity to return and for a cut in Chinese overcapacity. There needs to be renewed interest in eco-designs and ships with options such as LNG or Ballast Water Treatment Systems and then possibly any increased demand will support pricing from the shipyards’ point of view,” said Mark Williams, Research Director at Braemar Seascope.

The worst case scenario is for a continuation in the global credit crunch; weak freight markets continuing to suppress newbuilding demand; input costs and forex turning against the builders; the low point in the contracting cycle extending and also more cash flow problems and failures.

Investors are unlikely to invest in new tonnage this year without a fair prospect of economic return even if there is a short term recovery in freight markets, with many believing more needs to be done to encourage a return in confidence in the newbuilding sector,” Mr Williams told delegates attending the latest Marine Money conference.

While higher scrap prices should encourage owners to renew their fleets, the ongoing credit crunch and weak freight markets are reducing the economic life of today’s ships, which are now depreciating to scrap value in their teenage years or early twenties.

Mark Williams said that newbuilding prices tended to follow demand with input costs only providing a floor which can be broken through. “When the global shipbuilding backlog is less than about 18 months, yards tend to cut prices for competitive advantage, however prices appear to be bottoming out. There is far too much shipbuilding capacity out there. 2012 was the peak delivery year since the mid-1970s. So it is a question of who will blink first.

Press Release, January 29, 2013

Share this article

Follow World Maritime News

Posted on January 29, 2013

In Depth>

Events>

<< Jul 2015 >>
MTWTFSS
29 30 1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
27 28 29 30 31 1 2

Salvage & Wreck Asia 2014

At Asia’s only specialist salvage and wreck removal conference, delegates heard from industry leaders on topics including…

read more >

3rd Annual LNG Bunkering 2015 Conference

IBC’s ‘LNG Bunkering Summit’ returns for the 3rd time, with a view to profile latest developments and opportunities in key trade routes globally, and particularly in Singapore.

Join your industry partners as they crack the ‘chicken and egg’ dilemma while focusing on first-mover benefits, infrastructure, supply and pricing that makes switching to LNG a viable option.

The 3rd LNG Bunkering Summit is part of a suite of events in The Bunkering Week, which incorporates 3 co located conferences and will attract over 200 top decision makers. LNG Suppliers, Traders, Ship Owners and builders will convene to address commercial, regulatory, supply-demand, price and global market issues.

More info

Contact Details:
Email: register@ibcasia.com.sg
Telephone: +65 6508 2401
Fax: +65 6508 2407
Mail: IBC Asia (S) PTE LTD, 111 Somerset Road, TripleOne Somerset #10-06 Singapore 238164

read more >

7th Bunkering in Asia 2015 Conference

If Quality and Compliance challenges were not enough, oil prices have provided a further twist to industry dynamics. Further, recent developments have yet again resulted in a review of credit and counter party risk management within the value chain.

What then should the industry response be? How can we look ahead and determine strategies that have a positive impact on our business? If tapping successfully into new market segments was high priority, assessing watertight alternatives to protect your business is of equal importance.

Part of The Bunkering Week, the 7th Bunkering in Asia is back in Singapore to provide networking, expert viewpoints, and commercial opinions that matter.

More info

Contact Details:
Email: register@ibcasia.com.sg
Telephone: +65 6508 2401
Fax: +65 6508 2407
Mail: IBC Asia (S) PTE LTD, 111 Somerset Road, TripleOne Somerset #10-06 Singapore 238164

read more >

The Bunkering Week 2015

The Bunkering Week 2015 is a ground breaking platform for the shipping and marine fuels sector.

From Bunker markets and trade opportunities, developments in LNG Bunkering, through to Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems, the Bunkering Week will showcase the full range of strategies and solutions for the shipping community.

More info

Contact Details:
Email: register@ibcasia.com.sg
Telephone: +65 6508 2401
Fax: +65 6508 2407
Mail: IBC Asia (S) PTE LTD, 111 Somerset Road, TripleOne Somerset #10-06 Singapore 238164

read more >